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09/10 season

Results



2009/10 Season


I took a more selective approach for the 09/10 season as I eliminated any areas that I perceived to be weak links. That meant no odds-on bets, no lays, no cup games, no over/under bets and a more cautious approach at the start and the end of the season. I think the selective tactics worked well and meant that we were left with just bets that were "premium" bets.

When just looking at match bets only (no antepost) we improved the ROI from 9.6% in the 08/09 season to 20.9% this season so job done there I think. The increased selectiveness also dramatically reduced losers with just 24 of the 121 bets actually losing (59 won, 38 drew). For those who prefer the less stressful life of a high strike rate, covering the draw may be worthwhile. Details here of the stats comparing win only and cover on the draw.

The majority of the profit came in the first 3 or 4 months of the season which is unusual for me as it isn't usually until 3 months into the season when I really get going. There is always a period in the season when you make the majority of your profit for the season though and it just happened to be at the start this year.

This season also marked the introduction of the Shortlist bets. These are bets that weren't quite strong enough to make the cut as a recommended bet but still had a bit of value in them. Results can be found here for the shortlist bets and early signs are that this could be a nice addition to the service.

Overall the 09/10 season was a very decent one and the same again next season would do nicely. Full details on every recommended bet below.




MATCH BETS.... ........................ANTEPOST BETS

--

Number of Bets

121

Winners

59

Draws

38

Losers

24

Staked

1210.00 pts

Retuned

1463.60 pts

Profit/loss

+ 253.60 pts

ROI

20.9%

Number of Bets

6

Winners

1

Losers

5

Staked

35.00 pts

Retuned

35.00 pts

Profit/loss

LEVEL

ROI

-


  • Odds quoted below are the odds available 30 minutes after the email was sent out to subscribers in order to ensure that the figures quoted are easily achievable for members.


  • Quoted results below are the minimum returns you should be looking at. The price 30 mins after the email has been sent is generally when the price is at its lowest. You can find here a comparison of the odds of each selection at the time the email is sent out, 30 mins after the email has been sent (the official price I record at) and also the price at kick off. As a lot of the teams I bet on tend to be the more unfashionable sides the odds tend to drift on these selections more often than not as they are not teams the general public bet on in great numbers. Therefore you can usually get bigger prices closer to kick-off than has been quoted below which obviously results in even bigger profits than official records.


DATE

COMPETITION

RECOMMENDED BET

ODDS

RESULT

PROFIT/LOSS

16.08.09

Prem League

Blackburn to bt Man.City - DNB

2.5

LOST

- 1.00 pts

-

-

Wolves to bt West Ham

2.75

LOST

- 1.00 pts

-

-

Stoke to bt Burnley

1.97

WON

+ 0.97 pts

30.08.09

Serie A

Parma to bt Catania

2.04

WON

+ 1.04 pts

05.09.09

W.Cup Quals

Slovakia to bt Czech Republic

2.9

DRAW

- 1.00 pts

-

-

Croatia, Austria, Spain, Turkey acca

2.01

WON

+ 1.01 pts

09.09.09

-

N.Ireland to bt Slovakia

2.63

LOST

- 1.00 pts

13.09.09

Serie A

Genoa to bt Napoli

2.14

WON

+ 1.14 pts

-

-

Bologna to bt Chievo

2.43

LOST

- 1.00 pts

19.09.09

La Liga

Mallorca to bt Tenerife

2.09

WON

+ 1.09 pts

20.09.09

-

A.Bilbao to bt Villarreal

2.88

WON

+ 1.88 pts

-

Ligue 1

Lens to bt Lille

2.84

DRAW

- 1.00 pts

23.09.09

Serie A

Fiorentina to bt Sampdoria

2.2

WON

+ 1.20 pts

24.09.09

La Liga

Sporting Gijon to bt Real Zaragoza

2.4

DRAW

- 1.00 pts

26.09.09

Prem League

Blackburn to bt Aston Villa

3.24

WON

+ 2.24 pts

-

Bundesliga

Hamburg to bt Bayern Munich

3.23

WON

+ 2.23 pts

27.09.09

La Liga

Almeria to bt Racing Santander

2.3

DRAW

- 1.00 pts

-

-

Deportivo to bt Villarreal

2.5

WON

+ 1.50 pts

03.10.09

Bundesliga

Mainz 05 to bt Hoffenheim

4.43

WON

+ 3.43 pts

-

Prem League

Burnley to bt Birmingham

2.3

WON

+ 1.30 pts

10.10.09

W.Cup Quals

Leichenstein to bt Azerbaijan

2.9

LOST

- 1.00 pts

17.10.09

Prem League

Stoke to bt West Ham

2.17

WON

+ 1.17 pts

18.10.09

La Liga

Mallorca to bt Getafe

2.23

WON

+ 1.23 pts

-

-

Xerex to bt Villarreal

4.05

WON

+ 3.05 pts

24.10.09

Prem League

Burnley to bt Wigan

2.56

LOST

- 1.00 pts

25.10.09

Serie A

Palermo to bt Udinese

2.16

WON

+ 1.16 pts

-

Ligue 1

Auxerre to bt Lille

2.69

WON

+ 1.69 pts

-

La Liga

Almeria to bt Valencia

3.4

LOST

- 1.00 pts

31.10.09

Prem League

Fulham to bt Liverpool

4.33

WON

+ 3.33 pts

-

Ligue 1

Auxerre to bt Montpellier

2.11

WON

+ 1.11 pts

01.11.09

-

Nice to bt Le Mans

2.09

WON

+ 1.09 pts

-

-

Sochaux to bt PSG

2.85

LOST

- 1.00 pts

-

Serie A

Palermo to bt Genoa

2.15

DRAW

- 1.00 pts

07.11.09

Bundesliga

Mainz 05 to bt Nuremburg

2.22

WON

+ 1.22 pts

-

Prem League

Blackburn to bt Portsmouth

2.2

WON

+ 1.20 pts

-

Ligue 1

Nancy to bt St.Etienne

2.2

LOST

- 1.00 pts

-

-

Valenciennes to bt Montpellier

2.25

DRAW

- 1.00 pts

21.11.09

Prem League

Burnley to bt Aston Villa

3.55

DRAW

- 1.00 pts

-

La Liga

Deportivo to bt Atletico Madrid

2.57

WON

+ 1.57 pts

-

Ligue 1

Auxerre to bt Monaco

2.32

WON

+ 1.32 pts

22.11.09

Prem League

Stoke to bt Portsmouth

2.17

WON

+ 1.17 pts

28.11.09

Bundesliga

Mainz 05 to bt Hamburg

3.07

DRAW

- 1.00 pts

-

La Liga

Gijon to bt Villarreal

3.14

WON

+ 2.14 pts

-

Prem League

Aston Villa to bt Tottenham

2.54

DRAW

- 1.00 pts

-

Serie A

Genoa to bt Sampdoria

2.42

WON

+ 1.42 pts

29.11.09

-

Parma to bt Napoli

2.4

DRAW

- 1.00 pts

05.12.09

Ligue 1

Nice to bt Marseille

3.8

LOST

- 1.00 pts

06.12.09

Prem League

Fulham to bt Sunderland

2.2

WON

+ 1.20 pts

12.12.09

Prem League

Stoke to bt Wigan

2.2

DRAW

- 1.00 pts

13.12.09

Bundesliga

Mainx to bt Stuttgart

2.86

DRAW

- 1.00 pts

-

Serie A

Sampdoria to bt Roma

2.63

DRAW

- 1.00 pts

-

La Liga

Gijon to bt Sevilla

3.67

LOST

- 1.00 pts

19.12.09

Bundesliga

Frankfurt to bt Wolfsburg

3.35

DRAW

- 1.00 pts

20.12.09

Prem League

Wolves to bt Burnley

2.12

WON

+ 1.12 pts

-

La Liga

Tenerife to bt A.Madrid

3.15

DRAW

- 1.00 pts

22.12.09

Ligue 1

Lens to bt St Etienne

2.02

WON

+ 1.02 pts

26.12.09

Prem League

Fulham to bt Tottenham

2.9

DRAW

- 1.00 pts

-

-

West Ham to bt Portsmouth

2.24

WON

+ 1.24 pts

03.01.10

La Liga

Mallorca to bt A.Bilbao

2.1

WON

+ 1.10 pts

06.01.10

Serie A

Bari to bt Udinese

2.26

WON

+ 1.26 pts

16.01.10

Prem League

Stoke to bt Liverpool

3.9

DRAW

- 1.00 pts

17.01.10

Serie A

Parma to bt Udinese

2.16

DRAW

- 1.00 pts

-

La Liga

Mallorca to bt Deportivo

2.2

WON

+ 1.20 pts

-

La Liga

Almeria to bt Tenerife

2.01

DRAW

- 1.00 pts

-

Ligue 1

Bordeaux to bt Marseille

2.1

DRAW

- 1.00 pts

20.01.10

Serie A

Genoa to bt Bari

2.1

DRAW

- 1.00 pts

-

Serie A

Bologna to bt Atalanta

2.38

DRAW

- 1.00 pts

23.01.10

Bundesliga

Mainz to bt Hannover

2.08

WON

+ 1.08 pts

24.01.10

Serie A

Palermo to bt Fiorentina

2.45

WON

+ 1.45 pts

27.01.10

Prem League

Blackburn to bt Wigan

2.0

WON

+ 1.00 pts

30.01.10

Prem League

Fulham to bt A.Villa

2.75

LOST

- 1.00 pts

-

Serie A

Napoli to bt Genoa

1.98

DRAW

- 1.00 pts

-

La Liga

Deportivo to bt Real Madrid

4.2

LOST

- 1.00 pts

31.01.10

Serie A

Cagliari to bt Fiorentina

2.6

DRAW

- 1.00 pts

06.02.10

Prem League

Bolton to bt Fulham

2.3

DRAW

- 1.00 pts

07.02.10

Bundesliga

Mainz to bt Monchengladbach

2.3

WON

+ 1.30 pts

-

La Liga

Mallorca to bt Villarreal

2.37

WON

+ 1.37 pts

-

La Liga

Santander to bt A.Madrid

2.66

DRAW

- 1.00 pts

13.02.10

Bundesliga

Bochum to bt Hoffenheim

3.03

WON

+ 2.03 pts

-

Serie A

Sampdoria to bt Fiorentina

2.5

WON

+ 1.50 pts

14.02.10

Serie A

Cagliari to bt Bari

2.1

WON

+ 1.10 pts

-

Ligue 1

Auxerre to bt Rennes

2.6

WON

+ 1.60 pts

20.02.10

Serie A

Genoa to bt Udinese

2.0

WON

+ 1.00 pts

-

La Liga

Mallorca to bt Sevilla

2.55

LOST

- 1.00 pts

21.02.10

Prem League

Blackburn to bt Bolton

2.02

WON

+ 1.02 pts

-

Serie A

Bari to bt AC Milan

3.9

LOST

- 1.00 pts

-

Ligue 1

Rennes to bt Lille

2.5

LOST

- 1.00 pts

27.02.10

Bundesliga

Bochum to bt Nuremburg

2.27

DRAW

- 1.00 pts

-

Bundesliga

Mainz to bt W.Bremen

4.32

LOST

- 1.00 pts

-

Prem League

Burnley to bt Portsmouth

2.1

LOST

- 1.00 pts

-

Serie A

Catania to bt Bari

2.2

WON

+ 1.20 pts

-

Ligue 1

Montpellier to bt Rennes

2.41

WON

+ 1.41 pts

06.03.10

Ligue 1

Lens to bt PSG

2.36

DRAW

- 1.00 pts

07.03.10

La Liga

Espanyol to bt Villarreal

2.53

DRAW

- 1.00 pts

13.03.10

Bundesliga

Monchengladbach to bt Wolfsburg

2.88

LOST

- 1.00 pts

-

Prem League

Bolton to bt Wigan

2.2

WON

+ 1.20 pts

14.03.10

Serie A

Bologna to bt Sampdoria

2.65

DRAW

- 1.00 pts

-

La Liga

Almeria to bt Malaga

2.11

WON

+ 1.11 pts

20.03.10

Bundesliga

Nurnberg to bt Hoffenheim

2.7

DRAW

- 1.00 pts

-

La Liga

A.Bilbao to bt Getafe

2.1

DRAW

- 1.00 pts

-

Ligue 1

Lens to bt Sochaux

2.05

DRAW

- 1.00 pts

21.03.10

La Liga

Mallorca to bt A.Madrid

2.2

WON

+ 1.20 pts

-

Serie A

Sampdoria to bt Juventus

2.65

WON

+ 1.65 pts

24.03.10

Prem League

Blackburn to bt Birmingham

2.12

WON

+ 1.12 pts

-

Serie A

Catania to bt Fiorentina

3.25

WON

+ 2.25 pts

27.03.10

Bundesliga

Mainz to bt Wolfsburg

2.93

LOST

- 1.00 pts

-

La Liga

Mallorca to bt Barcelona

7.04

LOST

- 1.00 pts

28.03.10

La Liga

Villarreal to bt Sevilla

2.3

WON

+ 1.30 pts

03.04.10

Serie A

Parma to bt Fiorentina

3.34

DRAW

- 1.00 pts

-

Serie A

Catania to bt Palermo

3.2

WON

+ 2.20 pts

04.04.10

Prem League

Birmingham to bt Liverpool - DRAW NO BET

3.45

DRAW

-

-

La Liga

Almeria to bt Mallorca

2.51

DRAW

- 1.00 pts

-

Ligue 1

Auxerre to bt PSG

2.28

DRAW

- 1.00 pts

11.04.10

La Liga

Espanyol to bt A.Madrid

2.6

WON

+ 1.60 pts

-

Serie A

Sampdoria to bt Genoa

2.26

WON

+ 1.26 pts

-

La Liga

Mallorca to bt Valencia

2.45

WON

+ 1.45 pts

13.04.10

La Liga

Sporting Gijon to bt Tenerife

1.96

LOST

- 1.00 pts

18.04.10

Serie A

Sampdoria to bt AC Milan

2.92

WON

+ 1.92 pts

-

Serie A

Parma to bt Genoa

2.4

LOST

- 1.00 pts

01.05.10

La Liga

Espanyol to bt Valencia

3.02

LOST

- 1.00 pts

02.05.10

Serie A

Catania to bt Juventus

3.65

DRAW

- 1.00 pts

           




--- All bets proofed in advance to Secret Betting Club ---




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